May 22, 2013

Utley to 3B? Not So Fast

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I understand everyone’s desire to try their best to extend the career of Chase Utley. I’ve heard the suggestions, like everyone else has, for the past couple of years. “Put him in the outfield.” “Try him at first.” Aside from the obvious 250 pound issue at first in Ryan Howard, some of the suggestions made some sense.

Yesterday, Utley was spotted by WIP’s Rob Ellis and Glen Macnow fielding grounders at third base. The story quickly caught fire and Utley was confronted prior to last night’s game. To his credit, the usually tight lipped Utley confessed. It was his idea and he approached Ruben Amaro Jr. wondering if it would be an option for the team. Since then it has been reported that Utley and Amaro also discussed the outfield as an option.

The pros of Utley being able to field 3B are pretty plain. Utley wouldn’t need quite the range as he would need at 2nd which means his knees would take less of a pounding. He also wouldn’t be in the line of opposing players sliding hard into second trying to take him out. Utley could also give you more of a prototypical power third baseman. I’m not saying Utley is a power hitter, but he’ll certainly give you more pop than you’ve gotten there from Placido Polanco. It would give the Phillies greater flexibility and it would also open up a spot for Freddy Galvis, who maby fans and the organization seem to be high on. But this move would not necessarily be all good, either.

For instance, Utley played some third base in minor leagues. In 80 games at the hot corner, Utley made a staggering 28 errors. Now I’ll grant you that Utley is an experienced major leaguer now and probably a much more capable fielder, but that’s a lot of errors. The bottom line is that we’ve seen Chase Utley struggle at times with his throws from second base, how do you expect him to be able to deliver the ball all the way across the diamond with zip and precision?

Chase Utley is a true professional. I have little doubt that if Utley applied himself and worked hard over the long offseason ahead that he’d be able to field third base well. I’m just not sure that he has the arm strength to make the throws. If he can put it together, it could be a great step toward stabilizing the middle of the infield and prolonging the beloved infielder’s career. If he can’t, he could be a defensive liability on a team that has taken huge steps backward defensively this year.

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Not the time to fire Charlie Manuel

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Theory of Relativity.  Skinny jeans on guys.  Nicholas Cage getting paid to do movies. Here’s another thing that makes no sense: fire Charlie Manuel.

The Phillies‘ number 3 and 4 hitters were injured for the first three months, Roy Halladay joined the DL for over a month, they have a minor league bullpen, and you want to blame…Charlie Manuel?

The manager needs some scrutiny on a team that is eleven games under .500, but one clunker season for a team decimated by injuries following seven straight winning seasons and five straight division titles is not the time to fire the manager.

Even if Charlie Manuel has been a bad manager this season (which I don’t feel he has), the manager is far down the list of 2012 problems.  Now that you mention it, here is a list of eleven areas (in no particular order) to place blame before blaming the manager.

Reasons for Phillies terrible 2012 season

1. Ryan Howard‘s injury 2. Chase Utley‘s injury 3. Roy Halladay’s injury 4. Placido Polanco‘s injury 5. A bullpen that featured as many as five minor leaguers
6. John Mayberry
7. Shane Victorino’s struggles
8. Cliff Lee
9. Chad Qualls
10. Antonio Bastardo
11. Ruben Amaro

Is Charlie Manuel to blame for any of those eleven problems?  Do you think Ryne Sandberg could have done any better?

Ryne Sandberg is not the solution

Which brings us to the more baffling part of the whole let’s fire Charlie thing.  Truly puzzling is all the Ryne Sandberg love.  Sandberg is like the backup quarterback who everyone loves until he actually plays.  Sometimes change is a good thing, but if you are starting Mike Kafka you are probably in big trouble.  It’s the typical fan response (which I’m guilty of all the time) to want any kind of change when things go bad.

Try to answer the question, “Why should Ryne Sandberg be the Phillies manager in 2013?” The answers probably have more to do with why Charlie Manuel should not be the manager and not an endorsement of Sandberg himself.  All we really know about Ryne Sandberg is that the Cubs didn’t want him, he has only managed for four years, and he has no major league managing experience.  That doesn’t mean he can’t be a terrific manager. Maybe he is the second coming, but there is not enough evidence to suggest he is a better option than Charlie Manuel.

Possibly most important is that Ryne Sandberg is considered to be a “player’s manager” just like Charlie.  If they both are player’s managers and Charlie Manuel, with a World Championship, thirty years of coaching experience, and twelve years of managing experience under his belt can’t get it done, I certainly don’t like my chances with the unproven guy.

It’s only a small minority who wants the hook for big Chuck and hopefully it stays that way.  Charlie has done a terrific job of negotiating 25 personalities throughout his managerial career and it is because of his faith in his players that the Phillies teams have posted a .603 winning percentage (353-232) since the all-star break under Manuel.

There’s one more reason to keep Charlie Manuel as the skipper. We watched all but five members of the 2008 World Series team leave, including Pat Burrell, Brett Myers, Brad Lidge, Jamie Moyer, Jayson Werth, JC Romero, and most recently Shane Victorino and Joe Blanton.  With the string of NL East titles finished and the same with the sellout streak, the last thing the Phillies need is for the manager of the 2008 team to walk away?

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Trade Deadline Winners and Losers – Philadelphia Phillies not Among Winners

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The idea of ranking winners and losers at the end of a trade deadline or offseason is not exactly a new one. You won’t be surprised that at my previous writing gigs, this is how I did things. I know that this is Phillies101, but this column is going to review the deals that were made today by talking about the winners (there were three of them) and the losers (there were three of them.)

Unfortunately for the Philadelphia Phillies, they did not end up in the win column today…or very much this season at all. We’ll get more in-depth about this later. As for right now, you’re winners…

Detroit Tigers: If you looked at the Detroit Tigers, you’d say that they were missing two key pieces that would set them apart from the rest of the “could win a World Series” crowd. An upgrade at second base and one more veteran pitcher who could come out every fifth day and give you a fighting chance. The Tigers only made one deal, and sent starting pitcher Jacob Turner to Miami for starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez and second baseman Omar Infante. Infante is a definite upgrade over anything the Tigers could have hoped to get from Ramon Santiago or Ryan Raburn.

Los Angeles Angels: You might have heard of the guy that got the Angels on this list. His name is Zack Greinke. Oh, you have heard of him! Great. There’s a few reasons why I loved this move for the Angels. Greinke was struggling this year on a pretty bad team and they got him for a decent price. Greinke doesn’t have to be the star because he can share the spotlight with Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson – two guys who know how to pitch big baseball games. As several analysts have noted, this deal could turn out ugly if Zack doesn’t sign long term. Does anyone actually think that will happen? Have you seen the young talent on this Angels team? Unbelievable.

Los Angeles Dodgers: If you can think of a single medium-to-big name player on the trade block that wasn’t associated with the Dodgers at one point in time, please e-mail me at andrew@phillies101.com. I look forward to hearing from you. If you thought that Magic Johnson and company would sit back and wait for the offseason to make a move, you were being naïve. The Dodgers are one game out of the National League West and four game (and two teams) out of the second Wild Card spot in the NL. What did they do? Added Hanley Ramirez – an upgrade at 3B and/or SS. Add Shane Victorino – probably their new left fielder…sorry Bobby Abreu. Added Randy Choate and Brandon League to fix their huge hole – the bullpen. If the Dodgers don’t win the West, I’ll be stunned.

Now, we can talk about the losers. As I mentioned above, there were three teams that stand out when we talk about losing. The Phillies, obviously, will be included on that list. I’ll talk about the other two teams first.

Chicago Cubs: There just isn’t a whole lot that goes right for the Cubs. That didn’t change this year. Matt Garza, Ryan Dempster, Alfonso Soriano, Geovany Soto, and a few other guys were on the chopping block, and people were interested. You might have heard, that didn’t go well. Matt Garza got hurt and was untradeable. In my opinion, it’s probably for the best because at least fans will buy tickets to every fifth game. Alfonso Soriano isn’t exactly a pretty trade piece…unless you’re looking for an old left fielder who can’t run or hit anymore. Dempster, for some reason, turned down a trade to the Atlanta Braves and they were forced to deal him to the Texas Rangers for less “stuff.” We could keep talking, but it wouldn’t help.

Miami Marlins: As a fan of the Phillies, I spent a lot of time this offseason worrying that the Marlins were forming the next great baseball franchise. They had all the pieces. A pitching ace in Josh Johnson, a reliable veteran in Mark Buerhle, a deep-ish rotation including Sanchez and Carlos Zambrano. Brilliant middle infielders in Ramirez, Infante, and Jose Reyes, a young stud, Giancarlo Stanton….everything. I don’t know how this team, along with Ozzie Guillen at the helm, didn’t prosper and win a lot more games. It should have, but it didn’t. They were forced to sell off a lot of the pieces I talked about above because the interest in baseball isn’t high in Miami and it was time to make some moves. It’s too bad that it didn’t work because it could have been fun to watch…I’m depressed.

Philadelphia Phillies: As I go back and review my Twitter feed, I can’t help but wander two things. 1 – what was I thinking? 2 – what were the Phillies thinking?

In a nutshell, the day started and everyone knew the Phillies would be selling. The consensus seemed to be that the Phillies would sell and get returns that would make them competitive in 2013 and beyond. We’ll be lucky if we’re competitive in 2015.

Let’s review what the Phillies needed when the day started: bullpen help, young third baseman, outfield return depending on trades.

Let’s review what was on the table: Cliff Lee, Shane Victorino, Hunter Pence, Juan Pierre, Joe Blanton, and probably anyone else wearing cleats.

Let’s review what happened….

Hunter Pence to San Francisco Giants for outfield Nate Schierholtz, Double-A catcher Tommy Joseph, and Class A pitcher Seth Rosin – Hunter Pence takes with him the best bat the Phillies had, as he was leading the team in a ton of offensive categories and I’m not sure the trade makes sense. Schierholtz will be a free agent at the end of 2012, Joseph was ranked as San Francisco’s number two prospect, but he’s only hitting .280 with eight homers and 38 RBIs in 80 games this season. Rosin is still at the Class A level and doesn’t seem to have a defined role as a starter or closer at this point.

Shane Victorino to the Los Angeles Dodgers for reliever Josh Lindblom and minor league pitcher Ethan Martin – The Dodgers could afford to deal Lindblom because of the additions we talked about in the winners’ section of this column. He was 2-2 with a 3.02 ERA in 48 appearances this season. If those numbers don’t knock your socks off, you’re probably sane. Martin was a first-round pitck in 2008, but he’s still at Double-A and he’s sporting a 3.58 ERA and an 8-6 record. He’s Joe Blanton of the minor leagues.

Let’s review what didn’t happen:

Joe Blanton did not get traded to the Baltimore Orioles – There was a lot of sources that claimed money was the sticking point for the trade. It looks like it really stuck because Joe is still wearing a Phillies uniform today.

Cliff Lee did not get traded to the Texas Rangers, Atlanta Braves, Dodgers, or any other team – There were rumors that Lee was on the trade block, but general manager Ruben Amaro seems to think no one knows. He told Lee that they were just rumors, and if you believe that, I have a bridge to sell you.

Let’s recap this…

The Phillies needed outfielders to fill the holes made by trades, a young third baseman to take over for the aging Placido Polanco, and bullpen help. No one would have been offended if they got some starting pitching back for Lee or Blanton. Instead, the Phillies got a soon-to-be free agent outfield, shipped Victorino and Pence away, kept a soon-to-be free agent outfielder (Pierre), and didn’t trade it’s two worst contracts (Lee and Blanton).

That leaves the Phillies with bullpen issues, three empty outfield spots, and starting pitching depth to take care of this offseason. Amaro might have created some wiggle room, but he didn’t wow me with the returns in these trades (or any other columnist), and it doesn’t look like the aging Phillies got much better.

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A Look at Trade Rumors Surrounding the Phillies

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The trade deadline approaches, and for the first time in a long time, the Phillies may be selling instead of buying. All kinds of names have been floated around, so here’s a quick recap of what we’ve heard over the past couple of weeks.

I’ve heard some whacky rumors as of late, but this one might take the cake. The Los Angeles Dodgers, who lost their shortstop Dee Gordon to injury, may be considering a trade for longtime Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins.

Don’t get me wrong, I’d be interested in making this happen if I were Ruben Amaro Jr. After all, extending Rollins for 4 more years (an easy vesting option was built into the 3 year deal) may be the worst contract Amaro has drawn up. Especially in light of how Rollins has responded to it (he’s batting .261). I just don’t see a team out there dumb enough to pick up a $33 million plus contract to try to contend this year. Doesn’t make any sense. Nonetheless, it has been thrown about.

Another Phillie I would not expect to be the subject of trade rumors is 36 year old Placido Polanco. Reports have the Baltimore Orioles contacting the Phillies to try to acquire the gold glover. With the Phillies out of contention and needing to re-stock the farm, PLUS the fact that they are unlikely to re-sign Polanco makes this a no brainer.

Of course there is speculation about Shane Victorino and the Los Angeles Dodgers among other teams. I’ve been saying for quite a while now that I’d almost guarantee Victorino won’t be with the Phillies after the deadline and certainly won’t be back next year. Victorino is also in the final year of his contract with the team.

A group of major league scouts attended Sunday’s Phillies game against the Rockies. Among them was Don Welke, a senior adviser to the Texas Rangers. He was there to watch Cole Hamels pitch, in case the Phillies can’t re-sign Hamels and Texas wants to try to get a deal done. There were other teams in attendance to watch Hamels pitch a gem, and there were others keeping an eye on Victorino.

Oddly enough, the Phillies have now won three in a row, and it makes Ruben Amaro’s decision more and more difficult by the day. With Roy Halladay returning to the mound tonight, the Phillies will be a whole team for the first time in 2012. If this team was to go on a run, it could change the team’s approach going forward.

With the deadline two weeks away, it’s safe to say it will be an interesting two weeks in Philadelphia.

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Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Howling deadline wolves

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The vultures with their equipment were there to rate Cole Hamels and the other stars of the Philadelphia Phillies.  Do you know why Rube Amaro waited until now before increasing his re-signing efforts for his youngest ace?

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I will publish after every battle that is not washed out.  I will have many season-long highlights of puzzle pieces, especially important after drubbings and defeats.  If you were directed here by a feed and this review does not mention yesterday’s contest, please go to the Phillies page for my most recent coverage. (Early morning readers may arrive before the latest post.) Scroll down to Tal’s Handy Links at the bottom. Thank you.

Check out:  Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Omens or curses?

CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT:    5-1 Triumph

TYPE PLAYER REASON
The Crystal Champagne Toast Cole Hamels Five-Star Performance
The Penthouse Cole Hamels

Chooch Ruiz

Polly Polanco

Hunter Pence

A Sterling 8 Innings

2-Out RBI Single For A 1-0 Lead In The 1st

During His 2 For 4 Afternoon

Sac-Fly RBI In The 4th For 2-0, Scoring Chooch

Blasted A 3-RBI Bomb In The 5th To Ice The Win

NITECAP INSIGHT

The Roster Monsters:

They are sprinkled behind the plate in parks where talent languishes on the diamonds of the Royals and other familiar losing locations. The difference makers on also-ran teams are charted for their strengths and weaknesses by contending organizations. Yesterday, scouts from both LA franchises and Texas were there to appraise Hamels. Like the 4-legged animals, these creatures travel in packs. They were, also, there to write reports on other regulars from both clubs. This year the Phils are, currently, on the wrong side of that annual ritual. Other GM’s are evaluating Hamels, Shane Victorino, Cliff Lee, Polly Polanco, Joe Blanton and Hunter Pence with an eye for a bargain.

I can remember their opinions on Scott Rolen (2002) and Curt Schilling (2000), who would look great in their new uniforms. They were giddy about a top-of-the-rotation hurler or 3-4-5 stick for their postseason chances. Then, Pat Gillick traded Bobby Abreu to dump salary, because New York didn’t want Pat Burrell. That said, the red pinstripes stared to kick up a fuss and Jamie Moyer joined them in August 2006. The Front Office sold in July and bought during August. And we experience this intersection again, but simultaneously.

Victorino, Blanton, Pence and Polanco are the players with expiring contracts, which means management is pruning the payroll unless a run is sustained. Lee wouldn’t bring enough in a deal, and there would be an expectation of sharing his financial burden. The amusing part is that Doc Halladay has to prove he’s injury-free before he earns interest. Then, there is King Cole. Like Doc and Cliff, he will be here next summer with or without a major push for the 2nd wildcard.

Hamels wanted 7 years at approximately $25M per and Amaro was around $23M for 5 tours.  The midpoint is 6 campaigns at $24M, and for that amount of cash, Rube had to see 2012 unfold.  He didn’t want to take that extra step and have another expensive asset on the DL.  He didn’t want another 2009 performance or a Tim Lincecum.  The Freak saw a drop in his fastball velocity last year, re-upped for $40M+ over 2 seasons, and he is another Barry Zito, so far.  Cole is healthy, has 2.5 dominant summers behind him, and he’ll probably receive from the midpoint to halfway between his demands.  In other words, his offer will be $150M over six tours with options for a seventh or eighth 162.

 

PRECAP PITCH

Joe Blanton:

He seems to be vulnerable in his final frame, because the 7th and 8th innings have been treacherous territory for the relief corps.  He has to get 3 outs too many at times, because starters don’t have a reliable replacement before Jonathan Papelbon.  That said, he has lasted 6.2 frames plus in 10 of 17 opportunities with 6 monstrosities.

STARTER RECORD TM STARTER RECORD DAY & TIME
1 RHP Joe Blanton 7-8, 4.98 ERA @ Dodgers RHP Nathan Eovaldi 1-5, 4.21 ERA Monday, Late Night
2 RHP Doc Halladay 4-5, 3.98 ERA @ Dodgers RHP Jamey Wright 3-2, 3.68 ERA Tuesday, Late Night
3 LHP Cliff Lee 1-6, 3.92 ERA @ Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw 7-5, 2.84 ERA Wednesday, Late Day

Nathan Eovaldi:

He is their 6th arm and 2 of them are on the 15-day shelf. He has worked 7 innings in 1 of 8 attempts with 2 clunkers.

DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012 DEFINITION OF SEASON
Over The Top Excellent
3-Quarters Sidearm Good
Sidearm Above Average
Short Arm Approximately Average
Submarine Below Average

Quality number of the pitcher:  1 – 5

Slot on his club:  1 – 5

Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.

HURLER Joe Blanton Nathan Eovaldi
NUMBER A Four A Five
CLUB SLOT Five Five
FOR 2012 Short Arm Short Arm
’12 RANKING 4th of 5 Categories 4th of 5 Categories
LAST START Screwball Sinker*
LAST HIGH OR LOW 10th of 15 Categories 6th of 15 Categories

DISPLAY NOTE:  Non-listed results can go up or down by

* 1 notch & ** 2 clicks (This note will only appear when it’s relevant.)

* 1 Tick UP

PITCH INN ER – R- H PITCH INN ER
1 Gyroball 9 (CG) 0 – 0 – 3 10 Screwball 6 4
2 Fastball 9 (CG) 0 – 0 11 Knuckleball 5 3
3 Cutter 9 (CG) 3 12 Forkball 0 – 4.2 Monstrosity
4 Split Finger 7 2 13 Eephus Pitch 0 – 2.2 Disaster
5 Curveball 7 3 14 *Palm Ball Ejected
6 Sinker 6.1 3 15 *Spit Ball **Ejected+
7 Slider 6 2 *Breaking Ball Injured
8 Changeup 6 3 *Fosh Rain Interrupted
9 Slurve 5 2 ** = Suspended * = A 2nd Pitch Also

STATS

APOCALYPTIC

HORSEMEN

Cole Hamels

COLE’S LINE: 8 INN, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K & 111 DARTS
ACE W – L ERA INN+ CONV CG SO BAD INN H R ER BB IBB SO
Total 16 – 15 3.58 6.2 30 of 44 0 0 5 301.2 281 124 120 63 2 283
Halladay 04 – 05 3.98 7.0 08 of 11 0 0 3 072.1 069 032 032 14 0 056
Lee 01 – 06 3.92 7.0 09 of 15 0 0 1 103.1 105 046 045 21 0 102
Hamels 11 – 04 3.07 6.2 13 of 18 0 0 1 126.0 107 046 043 28 2 125

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Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Omens or curses?

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Tal Venada (Author archives)

Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the MLB 5 at game 89

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MLB: NL Roundup – Cardinals beat Mets 5-4

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Allen Craig #21 of the St. Louis Cardinals follows through on a fourth inning RBI single against the New York Mets at Citi Field on June 4, 2012 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (June 3, 2012 – Source: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images North America) NEW YORK (AP) — Allen [...]

MLB: NL Roundup – Reds double-up on Braves 6-3

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MLB: NL Roundup – Nationals stops the Phillies 2-1

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MLB: NL Roundup – Nationals get back to winning; beat Padres 8-5

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Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals waves to the crowd after hitting his first career home run in the third inning against the San Diego Padres at Nationals Park on May 14, 2012 in Washington, DC. (May 13, 2012 – Source: Greg Fiume/Getty Images North America) WASHINGTON (AP) — Bryce Harper hit his first [...]

MLB: NL Roundup – Nationals rallies to beat Phillies 4-3

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Wilson Ramos #3 of the Washington Nationals celebrates with Ryan Zimmerman #11 after driving in the game winning run in the eleventh inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park on May 4, 2012 in Washington, DC. (May 3, 2012 – Source: Greg Fiume/Getty Images North America) WASHINGTON (AP) — Pinch-hitter Wilson Ramos delivered an [...]